broj: 7-8/2024
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| RIJEČ UREDNIŠTVA | ||
| Uredništvo HŠD-a | ||
| The anniversary of an unprecedented storm in the Republic of Croatia pdf HR EN | 325 | |
| IZVORNI ZNANSTVENI ČLANCI | ||
| Hrvoje Mataković, Karlo Beljan, Stjepan Posavec | UDKps://doi.org/10.31298/sl.148.7-8.1 | |
| Perception of the causes and consequences of forest fires in the Republic of Croatia pdf HR EN | 327 | |
| Mara Marić, Domagoj Ivan Žeravica, Ivana Paladin Soče, Ivana Vitasović-Kosić | UDKps://doi.org/10.31298/sl.148.7-8.2 | |
| New potentially invasive species in the flora of Croatia pdf HR EN | 341 | |
| Vladan Popović, Aleksandar Vemić, Ljubinko Rakonjac, Sanja Jovanović, Sabahudin Hadrović, Aleksandar Lučić | UDKps://doi.org/10.31298/sl.148.7-8.3 | |
| The use of morphological traits of European beech (Fagus sylvatica L.) seedlings for selection of reproductive material from the provenances likely affected by climate change pdf HR EN | 353 | |
| Saliha Unver, Ebru Bilici | UDKps://doi.org/10.31298/sl.148.7-8.4 | |
| A comparison of the risk analyses for harvesting activities under different conditions pdf HR EN | 363 | |
| Ahmet Acarer | UDKps://doi.org/10.31298/sl.148.7-8.5 | |
| Will cinereous vulture (Aegypius monachus L.) become extinct in the forests of Türkiye in the future? pdf HR EN | 375 | |
| Summary Changing climate conditions and different climate scenarios on a global scale are associated with the shrinkage, fragmentation and even extinction of habitats of important bird species. Based on this, the aim is to conduct habitat suitability modelling and mapping of the cinereous vulture (Aegypius monachus), which has the largest body among the four different vulture species in the world, under the circumstances of climate change in Türkiye. MaxEnt method was performed to reveal the current habitat suitability model of the cinereous vulture, which is an indicator of old and high-quality black pine forests in terms of biological diversity in Türkiye. It was determined that the variables contributing to the current habitat suitability model of the cinereous vulture were bedrock, isothermality, landform classification and seasonal precipitation. Chelsa climate scenarios (SSP126-SSP370-SSP585) for the year 2100 were used to reveal the effects of changing climate conditions on the cinereous vulture. Mapping results according to different scenarios were classified as 0.5 – unsuitable, 0.51-0.8 – suitable and 0.81-1.0 – the most suitable habitat. According to the mapping results based on different year and scenarios, cinereous vulture has suitable habitat in a minimum of 16.13% of the study area in the present state, 13.95% in the year 2100 in the SPP126 climate scenario, 10.11% in the SPP370 climate scenario and 7.36% in the SPP585climate scenario. As a result, when the 2100 SSP585 climate scenario mapping was compared to the current habitat suitability mapping, it was determined that habitat suitability for the cinereous vulture decreased by approximately 55%. Therefore, these results will be a source of information to prevent the extinction of the cinereous vulture, in order to protect its current and potential distributions in advance, and to reduce the impact of changing climate conditions. Keywords: Aegypius monachus, climate change, wildlife conservation, modelling and mapping, maximum entropy | ||
| PRETHODNO PRIOPĆENJE | ||
| Damir Ugarković, Mateja Džeko, Ivica Tikvić, Ivan Blažević | UDKps://doi.org/10.31298/sl.148.7-8.6 | |
| Comparison of methods for calculating potential evapotranspiration in different climate types and vegetation zones pdf HR EN | 389 | |