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Znanstveno-stručno i staleško glasilo
Hrvatskoga šumarskoga društva
Journal of Forestry Society of Croatia
      Prvi puta izašao 1877. godine i neprekidno izlazi do današnjeg dana
   ISSN No.: 0373-1332              UDC 630* https://doi.org/10.31298/sl
upute autorima
WEB EDITION
ARHIVA ČASOPISA


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RIJEČ UREDNIŠTVA
     
Uredništvo HŠD-a
The scientific and professional character of Forestry Journal     pdf     HR     EN 217
 
IZVORNI ZNANSTVENI ČLANCI
     
Igor Poljak, Zlatko Šatović, Antonio Vidaković, Katarina Tumpa, Marilena Idžojtić UDKps://doi.org/10.31298/sl.148.5-6.1
Population variability of rosemary willow (Salix eleagnos Scop.) based on leaf morphometry: evidence of small and large-leaf morphotypes     pdf     HR     EN 219
Ivan Perković, David Počekal, Vibor Roje, Darko Bakšić, Nikola Pernar UDKps://doi.org/10.31298/sl.148.5-6.2
Influence of the parent material on calcocambisol in the area of the Plitvice lakes national park     pdf     HR     EN 237
Mirzeta Memišević Hodžić, Dalibor Ballian UDKps://doi.org/10.31298/sl.148.5-6.3
Phenological traits of leafing and leaf retention of black poplar (Populus nigra L.) in the clonal archive in Žepče, Bosnia and Herzegovina     pdf     HR     EN 249
Ahmet Acarer UDKps://doi.org/10.31298/sl.148.5-6.4
Brown bear (Ursus Arctos L.) distribution model in Europe: Current situation and the potential role of climate change     pdf     HR     EN 261
Summary
Brown bear, described as the largest carnivore in Europe, has a large body. While the brown bear can move safely and comfortably in its own habitat thanks to its large size, it is challenging for them to travel to different habitats over long distances. Therefore, negative changes that may occur with global warming may cause the existing brown bear populations and their habitats to be restricted, reduced, or destroyed. In this study, it was aimed to reveal the effect of Chelsa climate envelope models for current and future years on brown bear habitats in Europe. For this purpose, it was used the MaxEnt method, frequently used in wildlife species distribution modelling. The current habitat suitability model of the brown bear was in the “good model” category with the training data set ROC value of 0.834 and the test data set ROC value of 0.828. The variables contributing to the current model are annual range of temperature (48.2%), mean monthly precipitation amount of the warmest quarter (22.1%), temperature seasonality (18.2%) and annual precipitation amount (11.5%), respectively. When the mapping results used the variables contributed to the brown bear current habitat suitability model are compared with the IUCN inventory results, the current brown bear habitats in Europe will change regionally. However, it has been determined that brown bear habitats will shrink according to the SSP126 Chelsa climate scenario of the year 2100, and these habitats will fragment according to the SSP370 scenario, and that brown bear habitats disappear in some regions in the SSP585 scenario.
Keywords: brown bear, climate change, maximum entropy, modelling and mapping, wildlife management
Mevlüt Zenbilci, Serkan Özdemir, Alican Çivg˘a, Yasin Ünal, Idris Og˘urlu UDKps://doi.org/10.31298/sl.148.5-6.5
Habitat suitability modeling of wild goat (Capra aegagrus Erxleben, 1777) in different periods     pdf     HR     EN 273
Gizem Misirliog˘lu, Selçuk Gümüş UDKps://doi.org/10.31298/sl.148.5-6.6
Time-dependent change of natural vegetation on forest road fill slopes and its effects on erosion decrease     pdf     HR     EN 285

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