broj: 5-6/2009
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| RIJEČ GLAVNOGA UREDNIKA | ||
| Branimir Prpić | ||
| HOW TO SECURE THE FUTURE OF YOUNG, NATURALLY MANAGED FORESTS IN CROATIA DURING RECESSION pdf HR EN | 236 | |
| IZVORNI ZNANSTVENI ČLANCI | ||
| Tikvić, I., Ž. Zečić, D. Ugarković, D. Posarić | UDK 630* 429 + 851 (001) | |
| Damage of Forest Trees and Quality of Timber Assortmets of Pedunculate Oak on Spačva Area pdf HR EN | 237 | |
| Trinajstić, I., Z. Cerovečki | UDK 630* 188 (001) | |
| Festuco drymeiae-Fagetum Magic 1978 Association (Aremonio-Fagion) in the Vegetation of Northwest of Croatia pdf HR EN | 249 | |
| Roth, V., T. Dubravac, I. Pilaš, S. Dekanić, Z. Brekalo | UDK 630* 232.3 (001) | |
| Acorn Size of Pedunculate Oak (Quercus robur L.) and Sessile Oak (Quercus petraea Liebl.) as a Factor in Growth and Development of Seedlings pdf HR EN | 257 | |
| Jakovljević, T., K. Berković, G. Tartari, B. Vrbek, J. Vorkapić-Furač | UDK 630* 425 (001) | |
| Atmospheric Deposition in Forest Ecosystem of Europe and Research of New Methods for Determination of Phosphorus and Ammonia Within a Framework of ICP Forests pdf HR EN | 267 | |
| Degmečić, D., K. Krapinec, T. Florijančić | UDK 630* 156 (001) | |
| Factors that Determine Sex of Red Deer Calves (Cervus elaphus L.): Verification of Current Knowledge pdf HR EN | 279 | |
| Potočić, N., I. Seletković, M. Čater, T. Ćosić, M. Šango, M. Vedriš | UDK 630* 232.3 + 422 | |
| Ecophysiological Response of Sun-Exposed Common Beech (Fagus Sylvatica L.) Seedlings under Different Fertilization Levels pdf HR EN | 289 | |
| Rosavec, R., D. Dominko, D. Barčić, D. Starešinić, Ž. Španjol, K. Biljaković, M. Ožura, N. Marković, D. Bognolo | UDK 630* 432.1 (001) | |
| Analysis of Distribution of Areas Affected by Forest Fires on Island of Brač, Island of Korčula and Island of Rab pdf HR EN | 301 | |
| Summary: Forests cover approximately one fourth of the land’s surface. As one of the largest oxygen sources in the nature, they are very important for the survival of life on Earth. Forest fires have become an increasingly interesting issue not only for forestry and ecology, which study them as an important phenomenon for the survival of forests themselves, but also for physics. Physics perceives forest fires as an example of a complex system on large, kilometer-long scales. Faithful computer simulations can answer different questions, such as how fires behave, what influences their propagation, how they follow the power law and most importantly, how fires of different sizes can be predicted. In our work we used the data from the forest administrations of Brač, Korčula and Rab. The data, collected over the time period 1991 – 2000, relate to the number of fires and the size of the burned area. We began with a model in which a fire spreads in a two-dimensional (2D) grid developed by Malamud et al. (1998). There is an accurately defined number of boxes in the grid (Ng), the number of time steps (NS) and the number of fires (NF) for a given fire ignition frequency. Computer simulation modeling provides a burned area AF (AF is the number of trees destroyed in each fire). A non-cumulative number of fires in a defined time period is NF/NS and is given as a function of AF on a 2D grid of 128 x 128 for three frequencies: fS = 1/125, fS = 1/5000, fS = 1/2000. The slope of direction represents the exponent a (the power law applies) which depends on the frequency. The number of fires for every time interval is the function of the number of trees burned in each of the fires. For every fire propagation frequency there was the NS = 1.638x 109 of time intervals. There is also a range from small to large fires, with the number of small fires far exceeding that of large ones. Small and medium fires satisfy the power law, with . = -1.02 to 1.09, while large fires exhibit bigger deviations (. = -1.16), as manifested at frequency 1/2000 due to the finite grid dimensions. This is the limited size effect, since the fire stops after it has spread across the entire grid. In our application of the model to the data for Brač, Korčula and Rab, due to the relatively small number of data we used cumulative distribution in order to obtain qualitatively good results. By increasing the initial area interval that contains a given number of fires (A1,………A10), the fire affected area increases and so does the number of fires. This provided a distribution of the cumulative area number NCF for an interval. The results of our research show that the cumulative distribution of burned areas in the selected islands follows the power law in accordance with the model by Malamud et al. (1998). A logarithmic presentation of the results is a direction in its major part. The slope corresponds to the exponent ., because – dNCF/dAF.AF-.. According to the above model, if we know the parameters of the system we can determine fire propagation frequency, which indicates the probability of fire occurrence in an area. A data set for the three Croatian islands shows that, in relation to the obtained slope of direction for the total number of fires . = 1.02 ± 0.02, the fire propagation frequency is high, meaning that the probability of fire propagation is lower. However, a more detailed analysis of the two data sets for larger fires results in a greater slope, indicating a high risk of fire in the next several years, particularly in the areas that have already been severely burned (e.g. as many as 55 km2 on the island of Korčula). The obtained results allow us to conclude that in the applied model, the direction slope values coincide for small and medium fires, i.e. for higher spread frequencies, while the model used for larger fires exhibits deviations due to the finite space dimensions. The results provide a stimulus for further research, because it has been shown that if the impact of different parameters related to fire spread in an area is known, it is possible to identify areas with an increased fire risk, particularly in case of small and medium fire distribution. Key words: Adriatic islands; burned area; complex systems; computer simulations; fire. | ||
| PRETHODNO PRIOPĆENJE | ||
| Perić, S., J. Medak, I. Pilaš, B. Vrbek, M. Tijardović | UDK 630* 413 + 232 | |
| Initial Research Results of the Possibility of Revitalizing Očura II Querry with Autochthonous Tree and Shrub Species pdf HR EN | 309 | |
| PREGLEDNI ČLANCI | ||
| Konjević, D., U. Kierdorf, V. Njemirovskij, Z. Janicki, A. Slavica, K. Severin | UDK 630* 132 | |
| Wild Boar Tusk Pathology: An Overview of the Current Knowledge and Models of Reparation pdf HR EN | 319 | |
| STRUČNI ČLANCI | ||
| Frković, Alojzije | UDK 630* 156 | |
| The First Hunting Textbook of Bosnia and Herzegovina pdf HR EN | 327 | |