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| RIJEČ UREDNIŠTVA |
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| Uredništvo HŠD | |
| Deforestation and devaluation of forests in Croatia leads to the collapse of forest sustainability, forest ecosystem services, and their multifunctional role
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113 |
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| IZVORNI ZNANSTVENI ČLANCI |
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| Damir Drvodelić, Ela Španjol, Marko Vuković, Tomislav Jemrić | UDKps://doi.org/10.31298/sl.149.3-4.1 |
| Medlar (Mespilus germanica L.) fruit morphology depending on fruit size
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115 |
| Peter Vindiš, Damijan Kelc, Peter Berk | UDKps://doi.org/10.31298/sl.149.3-4.2 |
| Detection of bark beetle infestations by drone and image analysis in spruce forests
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127 |
| Özkan Evcin, Büşra Kalleci | UDKps://doi.org/10.31298/sl.149.3-4.3 |
| New records of marbled polecat, Vormla peregusna (Guldenstaedt, 1770) in Türkiye, current and potential distribution under climate change
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137 |
| Kadir Alperen Coskuner, Ismet Harman, Sadiq Zeynalov, Ertugrul Bilgili | UDKps://doi.org/10.31298/sl.149.3-4.4 |
| Exploring long-term wildfire dynamics across land cover types in relation to climate in the Eastern Mediterranean landscapes
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153 |
| Canpolat Kaya, Ahmet Acarer, Sibel Tekin | UDKps://doi.org/10.31298/sl.149.3-4.5 |
| Global climate change, a threat: example of the chamois’ case
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169 |
Global climate change is predicted to be one of the most severe destructions impacting Earth. This study investigated whether global climate change poses a threat to mountain ecosystems, particularly considering that wild animals in these habitats are highly mobile. Accordingly, the research aimed to map the habitat suitability of the chamois, a species with a wide distribution across Europe, under various climate scenarios for both the present and the future. To achieve this, the MaxEnt modelling method was preferred, utilizing the latest WorldClim climate data to illustrate global climate change impacts. The current habitat suitability for chamois falls within the “good” model category, with an AUC score of 0.839 on the training dataset and 0.834 on the test dataset. The variables contributing to the model are ruggedness index, elevation, annual precipitation and temperature annual range, respectively. Based on these variables, future habitat suitability maps for chamois were created using the SSP126, SSP245, and SSP585 climate scenarios for the year 2100, employing the HadGEM3-GC31-LL model from WorldClim. According to the classification, recent chamois habitat suitable map predicts that 27.71% of Europe is suitable for habitation. In contrast, the future suitability under the SSP126 scenario covers 24.71%, SSP245 covers 21.53%, and SSP585 covers only 16.21%. Therefore, compared to the current model, the SSP585 scenario for 2100 projects a reduction in suitable area by approximately 42%. According to this rate, global climate change is a threat to the distribution of the chamois.
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| PREGLEDNI ČLANCI |
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| Louiza Soualah, Mouatez Billah Boussouf, Abdelhafid Bouzekri | UDKps://doi.org/10.31298/sl.149.3-4.6 |
| Trends in research on forest fire mapping and management: a bibliometric review
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183 |
